TrackerLast Updated: 31 Jul 2026
Election Countdown

Next Irish General Election

The 34th Dáil must be dissolved by 17 Dec 2029.

1213Days
04Hrs
53Mins
44Secs
At a Glance

Polling Highlights

SF
Current Frontrunner
Sinn Féin
20.9%
+0.0% (30d trend)
Vs '24 Election
+1.9%
Tightest Margin
2.2% (SF vs FG)
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Polling: Next Irish General Election

Weighted average of all major polls. Recency & sample size adjusted.

Skip to this chart's data as a table
Source: Red C / Ireland Thinks / Ipsos B&A
Data verified: 31 Jul 2026
Pollsters: Red C, Ireland Thinks, Ipsos B&A

Poll History

Poll / Trend
Current Avg30 Day Trend
20.9%0.0
18.74%+0.1
15.68%-0.1
10.39%-0.1
Hide Poll History

Shaded cells: green = came in above the trend average, red = below, by 0.1pt or more.

31 Jul '26
20%-0.9
20%+1.3
16%+0.3
10%-0.4
3 Jul '26
19%-1.9
20%+1.7
17%+1.0
12%+1.0
24 Jun '26
21%-0.4
18%+0.2
14%-1.9
12%+1.2
5 Jun '26
20%-1.8
19%+1.5
16%-0.2
12%+1.9
27 May '26
21%-1.3
17%
15%-1.8
10%+0.8
1 May '26
22%-1.3
17%+0.2
17%
9%+0.4
22 Apr '26
25%+1.5
16%-1.1
16%-1.6
8%-0.6
3 Apr '26
22%-0.9
17%-0.4
19%+1.2
9%+0.2
25 Mar '26
24%+1.1
18%
16%-1.5
8%-1.0
27 Feb '26
22%-0.6
17%-0.6
18%+0.3
11%+1.6
Show all 39 polls (29 more)

Pollster House Effects

How much higher (+) or lower (−) each pollster's readings for a party tend to run compared to the field average around the same date, in percentage points. These are already corrected for in the weighted average chart above — this table shows the correction itself, shrunk toward zero for pollsters with fewer polls.

PollsterPollsSFFGFFSDGPAonIIPBP-SInd
20-0.9+0.7+0.7+0.5-0.3+0.4+0.4-0.1-1.5
15+0.5-0.5-1.2-0.2+0.3+0.1-0.3+0.2+0.8
4+1.5-0.9+0.2-1.0+0.4-1.3-0.6-0.4+3.1

A positive number means that pollster tends to read that party higher than the field consensus around the same date — not that the party is doing better, and not a claim that any pollster is "wrong." Small, genuine house effects are normal and expected across any set of independent pollsters using different methodologies.

Seat Projections

Today's polling average run through 5,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the 174-seat Dáil, with coalition scenarios and full seat-range distributions.

Budget 2027

Ireland's annual Budget tracker — confirmed date, Summer Economic Statement figures, and what was in the previous budget.

Confirmed for 6 October 2026
46 daysaway

Leader Approval

All leaders →

% satisfied with each party leader's performance, Ireland Thinks / Sunday Independent.

United Ireland

Border-poll tracking North and South, weighted for recency and pollster house effects. 16.8 points separate the North from a majority for unity.

State of the Nation

Housing, rent, immigration and public sentiment — the economic and social data behind the politics, sourced from CSO, DHLGH and RTB.

View full State of the Nation →

Dáil Constituencies

Interactive map of Ireland's 43 Dáil constituencies, coloured by the leading party's 2024 first-preference result. Full candidate-by-candidate results — first preferences, Droop quotas and every elected TD — are profiled for 43 constituencies so far. 4 were decided by under 7 points in 2024 — the closest, actual swing seats to watch.

Closest swing seats (2024 margin)

View all constituencies →

Next Irish General Election

No date is confirmed yet — the 34th Dáil must be dissolved by law no later than 17 December 2029.

Legal deadline
17 December 2029full countdown & how it's calculated →

Ireland & the European Parliament

Ireland's 14 MEPs, elected 7 June 2024 — by constituency, party and European Parliament political group.

Next European election
202914 seats across Dublin, Midlands-North-West and South

Sphere of Influence

Ireland's political and economic relationship with its two largest partners.

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Frequently Asked Questions

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