Next Irish General Election
The 34th Dáil must be dissolved by 17 Dec 2029.
Polling Highlights
Polling: Next Irish General Election
Weighted average of all major polls. Recency & sample size adjusted.
Poll History
Pollster House Effects
How much higher (+) or lower (−) each pollster's readings for a party tend to run compared to the field average around the same date, in percentage points. These are already corrected for in the weighted average chart above — this table shows the correction itself, shrunk toward zero for pollsters with fewer polls.
| Pollster | Polls | SF | FG | FF | SD | GP | Aon | II | PBP-S | Ind |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | -0.9 | +0.7 | +0.7 | +0.5 | -0.3 | +0.4 | +0.4 | -0.1 | -1.5 | |
| 15 | +0.5 | -0.5 | -1.2 | -0.2 | +0.3 | +0.1 | -0.3 | +0.2 | +0.8 | |
| 4 | +1.5 | -0.9 | +0.2 | -1.0 | +0.4 | -1.3 | -0.6 | -0.4 | +3.1 |
A positive number means that pollster tends to read that party higher than the field consensus around the same date — not that the party is doing better, and not a claim that any pollster is "wrong." Small, genuine house effects are normal and expected across any set of independent pollsters using different methodologies.
Seat Projections
Today's polling average run through 5,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the 174-seat Dáil, with coalition scenarios and full seat-range distributions.
Budget 2027
Ireland's annual Budget tracker — confirmed date, Summer Economic Statement figures, and what was in the previous budget.
Confirmed for 6 October 2026Party Leader Approval
Leader Approval
% satisfied with each party leader's performance, Ireland Thinks / Sunday Independent.
United Ireland & the Border Poll
United Ireland
Border-poll tracking North and South, weighted for recency and pollster house effects. 16.8 points separate the North from a majority for unity.
State of the Nation
Housing, rent, immigration and public sentiment — the economic and social data behind the politics, sourced from CSO, DHLGH and RTB.
Dáil Constituencies
Interactive map of Ireland's 43 Dáil constituencies, coloured by the leading party's 2024 first-preference result. Full candidate-by-candidate results — first preferences, Droop quotas and every elected TD — are profiled for 43 constituencies so far. 4 were decided by under 7 points in 2024 — the closest, actual swing seats to watch.
Closest swing seats (2024 margin)
Next Irish General Election
No date is confirmed yet — the 34th Dáil must be dissolved by law no later than 17 December 2029.
Legal deadlineIreland & the European Parliament
Ireland's 14 MEPs, elected 7 June 2024 — by constituency, party and European Parliament political group.
Next European electionSphere of Influence
Ireland's political and economic relationship with its two largest partners.